Weekly scorecard 2026-W36

Fund: investingRobinhood · Agentic account
Review date: 2026-09-04 (Fri 16:30 ET)
Period: 2026-08-31 (W36 open) → 2026-09-04 · inception 2026-06-18
Prompt version: 2.2.3
Mandate: dual-gate (Ackman quality + all-in timing) · one listed stock · fallbackIfDualGateFails = standby_not_active until 2026-09-19 (process clock; live name already exited)

NAV

Metric	Value
Start AUM	$100.00
Current NAV	$112.59
Fund return vs start	+12.59%
Week-over-week NAV	−5.35% ($118.95 → $112.59)
SPY same period (since fund entry 2026-06-18)	+3.00% (open $747.76 → last $770.23)
SPY this week (Fri 8/28 → Fri 9/4; Mon Labor Day closed)	+0.11% ($769.39 → $770.23)
SPY during AVGO hold (2026-08-19 → 2026-09-03 close)	+0.36% ($770.36 → $773.17)
Alpha vs SPY (since inception)	+9.59%
HWM (est.)	$119.38 (W32, Aug 7)
Drawdown from HWM	5.69% (limit 20% — no halt)
Cash	$112.59 (100%)
Equity invested	$0.00 (0%)
Options	$0.00 (policy OFF)

Marks: MCP get_portfolio NAV $112.59 all-cash · get_equity_positions 0 · get_equity_quotes AVGO RTH last $357.87 / SPY $770.23 @ 2026-09-04T19:59:59Z. Unsettled $0 (proceeds settled).

Positions

Ticker	Conviction	Entry	Exit / Mark	Return %	vs SPY	Thesis status
AVGO	High (dual-gate)	$362.71	$346.4001 (SELL 9/03)	−4.50%	−4.86 pp	Closed — all-in timing exit post soft guide
AMZN	High (closed)	$236.68	—	+10.84%	+7.02%	Closed 2026-08-17 flatten
MSFT	Medium-High (closed)	$376.41	—	+30.13%	+26.31%	Closed 2026-08-17 flatten+band
SPCX	Medium (closed)	$115.04	—	+23.51%	+23.45%	Closed 2026-08-17 flatten+band

Closed swing — AVGO (W36)

Listón	Result
Hold	2026-08-19 → 2026-09-03 (15 calendar days)
Fill	SELL — @ $346.4001 · order [redacted] · ~11:10 ET Thu
Realized PnL	−$4.86 (−4.50% vs cost)
+20 / +30 band	Never hit ($435.25 / $471.52)
~15%/mo pace @ reviewDate	Target ~$417 by 2026-09-19 — missed path; exited early on timing, not Ackman-only switch
Q3 FY26	Printed 2026-09-02 pm — EPS $3.32 vs $3.16 · rev $29.6B · AI $16.7B +221% · Q4 guide ~$34.8B vs Street ~$35.0B
Post-exit bounce	Thu close $357.16 / Fri last $357.87 (~+3.3% vs our fill) — exit was early vs the bounce, correct vs all-in soft-guide chop
Quality at exit	Franchise not dead (beat + AI + raised PTs). Exit = timing / soft guide, not quality kill.

Vs +20–30%: never reached → not SELL-TARGET.
Vs ~15%/mo: failed the live-test pace early; do not flip mandate to Ackman-only before 2026-09-19 reviewDate unless Julio changes it — book is already cash. Fallback remains standby. Julio: autopsy / three-gate harden before next ALL-IN.

Conviction relative performance (closed book)

• Medium-High (MSFT +30.13%) still the pace bar (~15%/mo).
• Dual-gate AVGO live test: −4.50% in 15d vs SPY +0.36% same window — timing gate failed after soft guide; quality gate was still green.

Actions this week

Action	Detail
Mon 9/01	Labor Day — market closed.
Tue 9/02	HOLD AVGO into Q print. Premarket ~$370 → open grind. Q pm beat + soft Q4 guide.
Wed 9/02–03 AH/RTH	Post-print gap: Wed close $367.24 → Thu open fade.
Thu 9/03 ~11:10 ET	SELL AVGO all-in flatten @ $346.40 (−4.50%). Rationale: all-in timing fail post soft guide; Julio autopsy before rotate. Exact-7 ORCL/ADBE not taken while open / then pause.
Thu 9/03 close	Cash NAV $112.59. Unsettled briefly $103.14.
Fri 9/04	HOLD cash. Exact-7 KR refused (all-in/expectations FAIL). ORCL/ADBE at 6d (need exact-7) — blocked. 0 trades Fri.
This session	No new trades — evaluation-only weekly. Book = 0 equity. Week trades: 1 (AVGO SELL).
Options	None — options.enabled=false
Macro	Soft Fri: SPY −0.46% vs Thu. VIX mid-teens. No halt.

Signal attribution (week)

Signal	Evidence	Score
retail_attention_vibes	Post-print tape was guide-gap noise, not a retail darling chase we rode. Vibes did not save the live P&L.	−0.2
near_term_catalyst	Catalyst printed on time (Q 9/02). Soft guide = all-in coin-flip after news. Holding into print was the plan; the exit was after the news was priced.	+0.3
support_not_chase	Entry was washout vs 52w high — good. Exit refused ORCL/ADBE chase at wrong day-count and KR exact-7 fail. Process win after the loss.	+0.6
wont_go_to_zero	Still listed mega-cap; beat + AI growth. Soft guide ≠ going-to-zero. Quality intact; timing failed.	+0.5

Best correlating signal: support_not_chase — refusing the next chase (ORCL/ADBE 6d, KR fail) after a bad timing exit is the week's process alpha. Worst lesson: near_term_catalyst alone does not protect soft-guide gaps.

Structured records: positions.jsonl
Monthly: 2026-08.md

Calibration suggestions

• Ver 2026-W36-suggestions.json (input para all-in Calibration automation-05 @ 17:00 ET)
• Propose small +0.01 on support_not_chase, −0.01 on near_term_catalyst (catalyst printed but soft guide hurt; not-chase discipline after exit helped)
• No threshold change. Julio autopsy / three-gate rules outrank weight tweaks this week.

Next week focus

Item	Date / note
Book	CASH — HOLD flat until dual-gate + exact-7 (min=max=7) + Julio autopsy clear
Exact-7 Mon 9/07	Q on 2026-09-14 — live re-scan; do not pre-commit
ORCL / ADBE	Q 2026-09-10 pm — window was 9/03; missed / paused. Do not chase at 6d→5d→…
KR	Exact-7 9/04 refused — stay off unless re-scored later
Live-test clock	Process review 2026-09-19 still on calendar (fallback standby; not a forced re-entry)
Autopsy	Harden three-gate / post-print soft-guide rules before next ALL-IN
Intraday	automation-03 @ 12:00 / 15:00 ET (hawk cash = quiet HOLD)
Calibration	automation-05 @ 17:00 ET Fri — apply W36 suggestions
Site deploy	automation-06 post-calibration — not this run (no [deploy-site])

---

Automation-04 weekly review · Agentic accountonly · Prompt v2.2.3 · No trades executed this session · Not financial advice.