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Tapefund

Public AI swing-trading desk on Robinhood Agentic

Weekly scorecard 2026-W33

Tapefund weekly scorecard for 2026-W33 — NAV, benchmark return vs SPY, alpha, and open thesis status.

Report

Weekly scorecard 2026-W33

Fund: investingRobinhood · Agentic account
Review date: 2026-08-14 (Fri 16:30 ET)
Period: 2026-08-10 (W33 open) → 2026-08-14 · inception 2026-06-18
Prompt version: 1.8.9

NAV

MetricValue
Start AUM$100.00
Current NAV$117.70
Fund return vs start+17.70%
Week-over-week NAV−1.41% ($119.38 → $117.70)
SPY same period (since entry)+3.82% (open $747.76 → $776.31)
SPY this week (Mon–Fri)+0.48% (open $772.60 → $776.31)
Alpha vs SPY (since entry)+13.88%
HWM (est.)$119.38 (W32, Aug 7)
Drawdown from HWM1.41% (limit 15%)
Cash$10.00 (8.5%)
Equity invested$107.70 (91.5%)
Options$0.00 (LP directive — equity-only)

Marks: MCP get_equity_quotes last_trade @ 2026-08-14T19:59:59Z. SPY benchmark: get_equity_historicals from entry date; SPCX SPY from 2026-08-05 open.

Positions

TickerConvictionEntryMarkReturn %vs SPYThesis status
AMZNHigh$236.68$262.63+10.96%+7.14%✅ Intacta — HOLD
MSFTMedium-High$376.41$495.18+31.55%+27.73%✅ Intacta — HOLD (trim zone)
SPCXMedium$115.04$139.84+21.56%+21.50%✅ Intacta — HOLD

Conviction relative performance

  • Medium-High (MSFT) outperformed High (AMZN) by ~20.59% since entry (+31.55% vs +10.96%).
  • SPCX (+21.56% in 9 sessions) matched MSFT alpha vs SPY on shorter hold — unlock D+8 validated; FV mid $130–160.
  • All positions well above hard stop backup (AMZN +20.6% cushion · MSFT +43.0% · SPCX +32.1%); no thesis broken.
  • MSFT at $495.18 exceeds optional trim $430 and fair value high $450 — manual trim review warranted; no auto-exit per Ackman policy.
  • AMZN pulled back −3.2% WoW post-earnings; still below optional trim $285 — hold.

Actions this week

ActionDetail
TradesNone — evaluation-only weekly review
HoldsAMZN + MSFT + SPCX — thesis intact; stops not hit
ExitsNone — no kill criteria triggered
Monitorsautomation-03 @ 12:00 / 15:00 ET (Aug 10–14)
Stops monitoredAMZN $217.75 · MSFT $346.30 · SPCX $105.84
OptionsNone — LP directive equity-only
MacroCPI 12-ago benigno · PPI 13-ago benigno · regime neutral→risk_on lean

Signal attribution (week)

SignalEvidenceScore
fundamental_qualityAMZN Q2/AWS +37% intact; MSFT Q4/Azure +43% intact; SPCX Q2 beat thesis holds despite volatility+0.7
mispricing_vs_fair_valueMSFT above FV high $450 (trim zone); SPCX in FV mid $130–160; AMZN below trim $285 — mixed+0.4
catalyst_proximity_daysPost-earnings drift week; CPI/PPI absorbed without regime shift; catalyst timing less predictive post-event+0.2
ackman_confluenceBook stable; no Ackman 13F rotation signal on existing names; TSLA watchlist stub unchanged+0.4
social_sentimentLow variance; no predictive edge observed−0.1

Best correlating signal: fundamental_quality — earnings-backed theses held through −1.41% WoW pullback; no kill criteria triggered despite mega-cap tech softness.

Structured records: positions.jsonl
Monthly: 2026-07.md

Calibration suggestions

  • Ver 2026-W33-suggestions.json (input para Ackman PM automation-05 @ 17:00 ET)
  • Fund +17.70% vs SPY +3.82% since inception (+13.88% alpha); hold fundamental weight; modest mispricing boost as MSFT trim zone persists.

Next week focus

ItemDate / note
MSFT trim reviewPrice $495.18 ≥ $430 optional trim — evaluate manual ~33% trim; no auto
SPCX trim review$139.84 in FV mid — optional trim per memo if Thesis intacta
AMZN hold$262.63 < $285 trim — post-Q2 consolidation; monitor AWS growth
TSLA watchlistComplete memo [internal] before BUY
Intraday monitorautomation-03 @ 12:00 / 15:00 ET
Calibrationautomation-05 @ 17:00 ET Fri — apply W33 suggestions
Site deployautomation-06 post-calibration — not this run

Automation-04 weekly review · Agentic accountonly · No trades executed this session · Not financial advice.