Weekly scorecard 2026-W30
Tapefund weekly scorecard for 2026-W30 — NAV, benchmark return vs SPY, alpha, and open thesis status.
Report
Weekly scorecard 2026-W30
Fund: investingRobinhood · Agentic account
Review date: 2026-07-24 (Fri 16:30 ET)
Period: 2026-07-20 (W30 open) → 2026-07-24 · inception 2026-06-18
Prompt version: 1.7.1
NAV
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Start AUM | $100.00 |
| Current NAV | $99.50 |
| Fund return vs start | −0.50% |
| Week-over-week NAV | −3.75% ($103.38 → $99.50) |
| SPY same period (since entry) | −1.19% (open $747.76 → $738.85) |
| SPY this week (Mon–Fri) | −1.10% (open $747.06 → $738.85) |
| Alpha vs SPY (since entry) | +0.69% |
| HWM (est.) | $105.46 (Jul 16) |
| Drawdown from HWM | 5.65% (limit 15%) |
| Cash | $25.00 (25.1%) |
| Equity invested | $74.50 (74.9%) |
| Options | $0.00 |
Positions
| Ticker | Conviction | Entry | Mark | Return % | vs SPY | Thesis status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | High | $236.68 | $232.08 | −1.95% | −0.76% | ✅ Intacta — HOLD |
| MSFT | Medium-High | $376.41 | $381.74 | +1.42% | +2.61% | ✅ Intacta — HOLD |
Marks: MCP get_equity_quotes last_trade @ 2026-07-24T19:59:59Z. SPY benchmark: get_equity_historicals from 2026-06-18 open; mark $738.85.
Conviction relative performance
- Medium-High (MSFT) outperformed High (AMZN) by ~3.37% since entry (+1.42% vs −1.95%).
- Both positions above hard stop backup (AMZN +6.5% cushion · MSFT +10.2% cushion); neither thesis broken.
- Book gave back W29 gains (−3.75% WoW) into pre-earnings window; fund still +0.69% alpha vs SPY since inception.
- 100% cloud/AI correlation — expected volatility into MSFT (Jul 29) and AMZN (Jul 30) prints.
Actions this week
| Action | Detail |
|---|---|
| Trades | 0 — no entries, adds, or exits |
| Holds | AMZN + MSFT — thesis intact, stops not hit |
| Exits | None — no kill criteria triggered |
| Monitors | automation-03 @ 12:00 / 15:00 ET (Jul 20–24) |
| Stops monitored | AMZN $217.75 (+6.5% cushion) · MSFT $346.30 (+10.2% cushion) |
| Options | None open |
Signal attribution (week)
| Signal | Evidence | Score |
|---|---|---|
| mispricing_vs_fair_value | Pre-earnings pullback restored ~14–16% margin of safety vs thesis FV; AMZN $232 vs $270–290 band; MSFT $382 vs $430–450 — no trim triggers | +0.7 |
| fundamental_quality | Q1/Q3 beats intact; no margin deterioration pre-print; cloud/AI leadership sustained | +0.5 |
| catalyst_proximity_days | Earnings window 5–6d out; NAV peaked W29 then −3.75% WoW into catalyst — volatility without thesis break | +0.4 |
| ackman_confluence | MSFT #1 universe all week; AMZN top-5; both held through selloff — no rotation signal | +0.5 |
| social_sentiment | Low variance; no predictive edge observed | −0.1 |
Best correlating signal: mispricing_vs_fair_value — pullback improved margin of safety without invalidating fundamentals; book held through pre-earnings chop while SPY fell −1.10% on the week.
Structured records: positions.jsonl
Monthly: 2026-06.md
Calibration suggestions
- Ver
2026-W30-suggestions.json(input para Ackman PM automation-05 @ 17:00 ET) - Fund −0.50% vs SPY −1.19% since inception (+0.69% alpha) but −3.75% WoW — hold conviction thresholds until post-earnings outcomes; modest boost to
mispricing_vs_fair_value.
Next week focus
| Item | Date / note |
|---|---|
| MSFT Q4 FY26 earnings | 2026-07-29 (after close) |
| AMZN Q2 earnings | 2026-07-30 (after close) |
| Intraday monitor | automation-03 @ 12:00 / 15:00 ET |
| Macro | Neutral regime; no risk_off cap |
| Cash deployment | Hold 25% cash through earnings; no ADD until post-print clarity |
| Weekly review | automation-04 complete — no trades |
Automation-04 weekly review · Agentic accountonly · No trades executed · Not financial advice.