Weekly scorecard 2026-W28
Tapefund weekly scorecard for 2026-W28 — NAV, benchmark return vs SPY, alpha, and open thesis status.
Report
Weekly scorecard 2026-W28
Fund: investingRobinhood · Agentic account
Review date: 2026-07-10 (Fri 16:30 ET)
Period: 2026-07-06 (W28 open) → 2026-07-10 · inception 2026-06-18
Prompt version: 1.6.0
NAV
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Start AUM | $100.00 |
| Current NAV | $102.36 |
| Fund return vs start | +2.36% |
| Week-over-week NAV | −0.06% ($102.42 → $102.36) |
| SPY same period (since entry) | +0.95% (open $747.76 → $754.86) |
| SPY this week (Mon–Fri) | +0.82% (open $748.74 → $754.86) |
| Alpha vs SPY (since entry) | +1.41% |
| HWM (est.) | $102.86 (Jul 7) |
| Drawdown from HWM | 0.49% (limit 15%) |
| Cash | $25.00 (24.4%) |
| Equity invested | $77.36 (75.6%) |
Positions
| Ticker | Conviction | Entry | Mark | Return % | vs SPY | Thesis status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | Alta | $236.68 | $245.33 | +3.65% | +2.70% | ✅ Intacta — HOLD |
| MSFT | Media-Alta | $376.41 | $385.09 | +2.31% | +1.36% | ✅ Intacta — HOLD |
Marks: MCP get_equity_quotes last_trade @ 2026-07-10T19:59:59Z. SPY benchmark: get_equity_historicals from 2026-06-18 open; mark $754.86.
Conviction relative performance
- Alta (AMZN) outperformed Media-Alta (MSFT) by ~1.34% since entry (+3.65% vs +2.31%).
- Both positions beat SPY since entry; AMZN led on alpha vs benchmark.
- Book concentration ~76% cloud/AI — correlated into earnings window (~21d); no rotation trigger.
Actions this week
| Action | Detail |
|---|---|
| Trades | 0 — no entries, adds, or exits |
| Holds | AMZN + MSFT — thesis intact, stops not hit |
| Exits | None — no kill criteria triggered |
| Monitors | automation-03 @ 12:00 / 15:00 ET (Jul 6–10) |
| Stops monitored | AMZN $217.75 (+12.6% cushion) · MSFT $346.30 (+11.2% cushion) |
Signal attribution (week)
| Signal | Evidence | Score |
|---|---|---|
| catalyst_proximity_days | Earnings window tightened to ~21d; book held gains into late-Jul catalyst runway; NAV flat WoW while SPY rallied | +0.7 |
| ackman_confluence | MSFT #1 universe all week; AMZN #4 with max 13F add (+19.2%); both held through pre-earnings chop | +0.8 |
| fundamental_quality | Q1/Q3 beats intact; cloud/AI leadership sustained; no margin deterioration | +0.7 |
| mispricing_vs_fair_value | Prices still ~10–15% below thesis FV targets; gap narrowing but margin of safety intact | +0.5 |
| social_sentiment | Low variance; no predictive edge observed | −0.1 |
Best correlating signal: catalyst_proximity_days + ackman_confluence — top-ranked names held alpha vs SPY while book consolidated pre-earnings; AMZN led on return this week.
Structured records: positions.jsonl
Monthly: 2026-06.md
Calibration suggestions
- Ver
2026-W28-suggestions.json(input para Ackman PM automation-05 @ 17:00 ET) - Fund beat SPY (+1.41% alpha since entry) but WoW flat while SPY +0.82% → modest boost to
catalyst_proximity_days; hold conviction thresholds until post-earnings.
Next week focus
| Item | Date / note |
|---|---|
| AMZN Q2 earnings | ~late Jul 2026 (~30-jul est.) |
| MSFT Q4 FY26 earnings | ~29-jul est. |
| Intraday monitor | automation-03 @ 12:00 / 15:00 ET |
| Macro | Neutral regime; no risk_off cap |
| Cash deployment | Hold 24% cash pre-earnings; no ADD until post-earnings clarity |
| Weekly review | automation-04 complete — no trades |
Automation-04 weekly review · Agentic accountonly · No trades executed · Not financial advice.